<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Alex Priest &#187; natesilver</title>
	<atom:link href="http://alexpriest.com/tag/natesilver/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://alexpriest.com</link>
	<description>Alex Priest&#039;s personal blog, on marketing, social media, technology, politics, and life in general.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sat, 31 Mar 2012 04:44:55 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1</generator>
		<item>
		<title>Is 56 the new 60? Why not make 50 the new 60?</title>
		<link>http://alexpriest.com/2010/02/23/is-56-the-new-60-why-not-make-50-the-new-60/</link>
		<comments>http://alexpriest.com/2010/02/23/is-56-the-new-60-why-not-make-50-the-new-60/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Feb 2010 15:00:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Priest</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[congress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[filibuster]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fivethirtyeight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[majority]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[moderates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[natesilver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[teaparty]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alexpriest.com/?p=643</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To begin, I&#8217;d like to direct your attention to this post from yesterday over at fivethirtyeight. As usual for them, it&#8217;s an excellent post, and Nate Silver makes some excellent points about how, if Democrats can hold on to at &#8230; <a href="http://alexpriest.com/2010/02/23/is-56-the-new-60-why-not-make-50-the-new-60/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To begin, I&#8217;d like to direct your attention to <a title="fivethirtyeight - &quot;Is 56 the New 60&quot;" href="http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/02/for-democrats-56-is-new-60.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&amp;utm_medium=twitter" target="_blank">this post</a> from yesterday over at fivethirtyeight. As usual for them, it&#8217;s an excellent post, and Nate Silver makes some excellent points about how, if Democrats can hold on to at least 56 seats in the Senate this November, they might still be in good shape.</p>
<blockquote><p><em>Hence, the title of this post: is 56 is the new 60? If the Democrats can keep 56 of their own seats in the new Senate &#8212; which will be a bit tough, but is far from out of the question &#8212; then they may frequently be able to cobble together a coalition between the 56 Democrats and the four moderate Republicans &#8212; Brown, Collins, Snowe and Castle. There are other Republican whose votes might be in play on particular issues &#8212; Linsday Graham on climate change, Dick Lugar on foreign policy stuff &#8212; but those the Snowe/Brown/Collins/Castle block should be up for grabs on almost every issue.</em></p></blockquote>
<p><em><span style="font-style: normal;">I have a couple points I want to make here.</span></em></p>
<p>First, it&#8217;s absolutely <em>appalling</em> that there are only four serious contenders to qualify as &#8220;moderates&#8221; for the 112th Congress. Two paragraphs down in his post, Silver even says, &#8220;That&#8217;s about it, though &#8212; most of the Republicans running for office are conservatives.&#8221; <strong>The radicals conservatives and the tea party are in control. </strong>We&#8217;re witnessing a literal coup d&#8217;état of the Republican party.</p>
<p>Despite the potential benefits this may have for Democrats&#8211;particularly in the long run&#8211;this just isn&#8217;t a good thing. Sure, if Obama&#8217;s initiatives succeed in the next two years, Democrats will come out looking like moderates as the country shifts to the left, while Republicans wither away as the radical group in American politics. That&#8217;s good for me and my views, but is it good for democracy? I don&#8217;t think so. The idea of a purity test for a political party, particularly one of the <em>two</em> parties in our strictly <em>two-party</em> system, is just sad.</p>
<p>Secondly, and more to the point of my title, <strong>why are we talking about 56 as the new 60? We should be talking 50 as the new 60.</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><a rel="lightbox" href="http://www.sfgate.com/chronicle/pictures/2005/05/24/meyer24-600x471-cartoon.gif"><img class="aligncenter" title="Majority" src="http://www.sfgate.com/chronicle/pictures/2005/05/24/meyer24-600x471-cartoon.gif" alt="" width="384" height="302" /></a></strong></p>
<p>The filibuster rule is in shambles. It&#8217;s been used and abused by both parties for two decades now&#8211;although <em>much</em> worse in the past year by Republicans than ever before&#8211;and it&#8217;s tearing away the very fabric of our democracy. Let&#8217;s remember how Congress used to work. To pass a bill, it was required to pass the House and earn a <em>majority</em> of votes from the Senate. <a href="http://www.google.com/dictionary?aq=f&amp;langpair=en|en&amp;hl=en&amp;q=majority">Simple definition from google</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p><em><strong>majority</strong> /mədʒ&#8217;ɒrɪti/<object id="pronunciation" classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width=" 16" height="16" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="src" value="/dictionary/flash/SpeakerApp16.swf" /><embed id="pronunciation" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width=" 16" height="16" src="/dictionary/flash/SpeakerApp16.swf"></embed></object> /-dʒ&#8217;ɔːr-/ US</em></p>
<p><em>1. The </em><strong><em>majority</em></strong><em> of people or things in a group is more than half of them.</em></p></blockquote>
<p>So let me ask you this: how the hell is passing a bill with 51+ votes &#8220;undemocratic?&#8221; That&#8217;s the very <em>definition</em> of a majority-based system, and conservatives have flipped the messaging to make 51 votes seem like not enough people agree with it to be the &#8220;will of the people.&#8221;</p>
<p><a title="Filibuster" href="http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2010/02/the_filibusters_conservative_t.html" target="_blank">Ezra Klein made an excellent point</a> about the filibuster and it&#8217;s ridiculousness in a post from February 19th:</p>
<blockquote><p><em>When 41 senators representing less than 20 percent of the population can block legislation, that&#8217;s not a democratic state of affairs, no matter the issues involved.</em></p></blockquote>
<p>How can conservatives actually argue <em>against</em> eliminating the filibuster? Now let me be clear, I recognize that Democrats have done this in the past too, and, should they become the minority at any point in the future while the filibuster still exists, they&#8217;ll likely do it again. <strong>But I don&#8217;t agree with it.</strong> And, were I a Senator, I absolutely, positively would not take part in it.</p>
<p>Anyway, enjoy the links, let me know what you think. Is the filibuster guaranteeing the &#8220;rights of the minority?&#8221; Or is it holding back our democracy and tearing away the very system that used to keep our government running (at least semi-) smoothly?</p>
<p>I think it&#8217;s time for a change. I think we need more moderates. I think we need a system where 51 votes passes a bill, because that&#8217;s a <em>majority of what the people elected</em>. But hey, what do I know.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://alexpriest.com/2010/02/23/is-56-the-new-60-why-not-make-50-the-new-60/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

